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What Still Keeps Otherwise Confident Gulf Senior Executives Awake at Night?

Concerns remain about the fuel for continued innovation and competitiveness according to Oliver Wyman / Zogby Research survey

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates - Thursday, March 19th 2015 [ME NewsWire]

(BUSINESS WIRE) -- Falling oil prices and continued violence in the region have done little to undermine business confidence in the Gulf according to the 10th Oliver Wyman / Zogby survey of 219 senior executives in the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Kuwait. It’s a shortage of fuel for innovation that’s more worrisome: the needs for investment, talent, research, and infrastructure are stubborn obstacles to innovation within the four countries, and especially in the UAE.

These are among the findings presented at the 6th Oliver Wyman / Financial Times CEO Conference today in Dubai, UAE. The theme for the conference is “Establishing a Silicon Valley in Today’s Gulf,” and the data poses some interesting questions for panel discussions on finding the financial, human, and knowledge assets necessary for innovation and growth.

The survey findings highlight continued resilience in a region grown accustomed to economic ups and downs and the political and military struggles of its neighbors. Indeed, while optimism across the Gulf had been tempered by events in the last survey (December 2014), executives have rebounded. The UAE and Qatar have seen steady increase over the past five years (to highs of 93% and 89% of respondents, respectively), while Saudi and Kuwait have seen a significant jump in confidence from last year, when confidence had decreased somewhat. Saudi confidence jumped 33 points, from 56% to 89% and Kuwait jumped a full 55 points to 93%.

At the same time, pockets of concern remain. All respondents noted the negative impact of falling oil prices and the decline in government revenues. More interestingly,

    Sourcing financial capital for innovation is of increasing concern in the next five years (nearly half of respondents (48%) find it a “very important” risk)
    Finding the talent to innovate is a problem overall, and particularly in the UAE, where 75% of respondents said this was a “very important” risk in the next 5 years
    64% of UAE respondents and 67% of Kuwaiti respondents see the lack of new ideas / research to innovate a very important obstacle to innovation over the next five years. Saudi and Qatari executives are more measured – only 38% of Saudis and 36% of Qataris see this as a very important obstacle
    Outside economic shocks are seen as the greatest threat to business conditions by 67% of UAE respondents, while more than 50% of respondents in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Qatar see internal change in leadership as the greatest threat

This year’s poll also saw an interesting reverse in investment focus. Last year, when asked which offers the best investment opportunity for growth, there was nearly uniform support for investment in the home country or in the GCC. This year executives in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait saw a growth in interest in developed and especially in developing countries. View the 2014 report here.

Finally, the majority of respondents (178 out of 219) view the business effects of opening the Iranian economy as positive, but the expected benefits vary by country. Executives in the UAE and Qatar see the main benefit as an opportunity to invest in Iran, while the KSA and Kuwait business leaders regard Iranian investment in the region as the main benefit.

"Executives in the region are still playing the long game in their concern for the ways to make their achievements sustainable,” notes Pedro Oliveira, Partner and Middle East & Africa Region Head for Oliver Wyman. “They want continued internal investment, a flexible and capable workforce, secure and free-flowing business knowledge, and a continued strong partnership with their governments.”

Dr. James Zogby, the Managing Director of Zogby Research Services finds concern for changes in leadership, particularly in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Qatar most interesting. “It’s been a pretty interesting year in the region. I am surprised by the optimism, but not surprised that executives would number continued strong leadership among their concerns.”

To view the 2015 report or for more information on this survey series, visit this link

About Oliver Wyman

From the firm's offices in Dubai, Riyadh, and Abu Dhabi, Oliver Wyman serves clients in the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and beyond. Our MENA-based consultants are recognized industry experts representing 24 nationalities and speaking 17 languages.

Oliver Wyman is a global leader in management consulting. With offices in 50+ cities across 26 countries, Oliver Wyman combines deep industry knowledge with specialized expertise in strategy, operations, risk management, and organization transformation. The firm's 3,700 professionals help clients optimize their business, improve their operations and risk profile, and accelerate their organizational performance to seize the most attractive opportunities. Oliver Wyman is a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh & McLennan Companies [NYSE: MMC]. Follow Oliver Wyman on Twitter @OliverWyman.

About Zogby Research Services

Zogby Research Services is a public opinion research firm that conducts polls and analyzes attitudes across the Arab World.

Contacts

Oliver Wyman

Lavita Dsouza,

971 4 425 7000

 

 

 

 

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